Future Climate Research

My most recent research projects deal with the potential impacts of anthropogenic climate change in the national parks. As part of my work with the National Park Service (NPS) I examine rates of sea level change and potential flooding resulting from storm surge in all NPS coastal parks. My internal reports for the NPS can be accessed through the NPS Integrated Resources Management Applications portal. Information on external publications are available below. 

Publications

Here are a number of links to my various papers. I would also recommend checking out my academia.edu webpage for the latest papers as well as links to presentations materials.

• Russotto, R.D., Caffrey, M.A., Powell, M., Lepore, C., Schneider, E., Dwyer, J.G., Qaddoumi, A., Dinh, L., Simonetti, M. 2022. Global Calculations of Tropical Cyclone Return Periods and an ACE-like Risk Metric. Amercian Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, Chicago, Il.

• Caffrey, M.A., Beavers, R.L., Hoffman, C. 2018. Sea Level and Storm Surge Projections for the National Park Service. NPS/NRSS/NRR—2018/1648. National Park Service, Fort Collins, Colorado.

• Beavers, R.L. Caffrey, M.A. 2017. Sea level rise. In: United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction (UNISDR). Words into Action Guidelines: National Disaster Risk Assessment Hazard Specific Risk Assessment. United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction (UNISDR), Geneva, Switzerland.

• Schupp, C., Beavers, R.L., Caffrey, M.A. 2015. Coastal Adaptation Strategies: Case Studies. NPS 999/129700. National Park Service, Fort Collins, Colorado.

• Beavers, R.L., Schupp, C., Slayton, I.A., Caffrey, M.A. 2014. Shoreline Erosion and Adaptation Strategies for Peale Island Cabin, Yellowstone National Park. Natural Resource Report NPS/NRSS/GRD/NRR—2014/858.

• Caffrey, M. A., Beavers, R.L. 2013. Planning for the impact of sea-level rise on U.S. national parks. Park Science 30(1): 6-13.

• Caffrey, M.A., Beavers, R.L. 2008. Protecting cultural resources in coastal U.S. national parks from climate change. The George Wright Forum 25(2): 86-97.